Thursday, March 5, 2009

Champions league is back - Inter vs Man Utd

Tonight sees the resumption of the champions league with the intriguing match of Inter vs Man Utd.

Mixed signals are coming out of both camps about how they will play. Mourinho suggesting defence will be key, Ferguson hinting that won't be the case. I doubt either are likely to tell you exactly what they are thinking.

The market is thinking about a draw. The goal forecast from the market is for 2.20 goals on average with a slight edge to Inter. Looking at my stats I reckon Man Utd are a little too short in the market. Fair value should be around 3.05-3.35. Under 2.5 goals should be around 1.56 for a match with these characteristics, so that looks long term value.

If you are interested in how I view this match and the most sensible way to trade it, view the following video. The following video was made using Soccer Mystic. Soccer Mystic is free when you sign up to Bet Angel.